Manuel Capasso
Own goal
5'
0–1
| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5' | away | Manuel Capasso | 0-1 |
| 12' | away | Oussama Idrissi | 0-2 |
| 51' | home | Manuel Capasso | 1-2 |
| 75' | away | Salomón Rondón | 1-3 |
| 90'+2' | away | Eduardo Bauermann | 1-4 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Model at kick-off: ATS 28% · Draw 22% · PAC 50%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
Tactical shift
Manuel Capasso
Own goal
5'
0–1
Alan Bautista
Booked
7'
Oussama Idrissi
Assist · Salomón Rondón
12'
0–2
Aldo Rocha
Booked
18'
Ryan Mmaee
On for Milton Valenzuela
45'
Manuel Capasso
51'
1–2
Kenedy
On for Alan Bautista
61'
Mauricio Isais
On for Oussama Idrissi
71'
Luís Esteves
Booked
74'
Salomón Rondón
75'
1–3
Ryan Mmaee
Booked
77'
Adonis Frias
Sent off
83'
José Martín
On for Florián Monzón
83'
Adrián Alcaraz
On for Rodolfo Pizarro
85'
Eduardo Bauermann
Assist · Kenedy
92'
1–4
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Chaos Match
High-event, low-control. Structure broke down repeatedly — pure entertainment.
27 shots
xG for this match is modelled rather than measured, so per-shot and total xG figures are withheld. Positions and outcomes are as recorded.
accuracy · 55%
kill rate · 9%
accuracy · 53%
kill rate · 27%
Pachuca turned 27% of shots into goals to Atlas's 9%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
Head to Head
League Standing
Mexican Liga BBVA MXKey context
Venue
Estadio Jalisco
Kick-off
7 Nov · 23:00 UTC
Referee
Fernando Hernandez
Mexico · 4.5 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.