Turning point · 71'Rafa LlorenteForecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
It finished level; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 19%. Toluca had more shots (29–15) and more on target (7–5).
Pre-match call frozen 18 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Tactical shift
Érick Gutiérrez
Assist · Helinho
62'
Johan Caicedo
On for Roberto Meraz
63'
Érick Gutiérrez
67'
Jorge Díaz
On for Alexis Vega
70'
Rafa Llorente
Assist · Anderson Duarte
71'
Juanpe
On for Anderson Duarte
80'
Brian García
On for Érick Gutiérrez
80'
Leonardo Flores
On for Rafa Llorente
83'
Benjamín Galdames
On for Sébastien Salles-Lamonge
86'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Midfield Domination
Control of central areas dictated everything. The midfield battle was the match.
44 shots
Expected goals over time
2.60 – 1.42
accuracy · 24%
kill rate · 3%
accuracy · 33%
kill rate · 7%
Atlético de San Luis turned 7% of shots into goals to Toluca's 3%.
Shots on Target
Attack
Head to Head
League Standing
Mexican Liga BBVA MXKey context
Venue
Estadio Nemesio Díez Riega
Kick-off
18 Oct · 01:00 UTC
Referee
Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava
Mexico · 4.3 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
