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Nice vs Troyes
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 14:10 UTC · 15 NovNIC 57%Draw 26%TRY 17%
Expected goals · NIC 1.6 · TRY 0.8 · 2.4 total
NIC's attack (1.01x the league average) against TRY's defence (1.04x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.8.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for NIC's win chance, the blue ones for TRY's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| NIC goals | TRY 0 | TRY 1 | TRY 2 | TRY 3 | TRY 4 | TRY 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIC 0 | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| NIC 1 | 14% | 12% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| NIC 2 | 12% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| NIC 3 | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| NIC 4 | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| NIC 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
NIC 56.7% · Draw 25.9% · TRY 17.3%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.6%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Nice at 57% — Troyes concede 1.8 per game, and the model sees that.
THE ANGLE
Home/away split tells the story: Nice scoring 1.4/game at home, Troyes scoring 0.8/game on the road.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
NIC
3-4-2-1TRY
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.570%
OVER 2.544%
OVER 3.523%
BTTS45%
NIC CLEAN SHEET45%
TRY CLEAN SHEET19%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
NIC
TRY
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
NIC
UNBEATEN
3
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
12
points · W4 D0 L1TRY
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–1 to Paris Saint-Germain last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.41SCORED · PER 90
NIC
1.37
LEAGUE1.41
TRY
0.83
NIC scores +0.54 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
NIC
1.44
LEAGUE1.41
TRY
1.80
NIC concedes 0.36 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
NIC
6th
Mid-table on 17 points.
TRY
17th
In the relegation zone on 8 points.
NIC sit 11 places higher in the table
