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Le Havre vs Strasbourg
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 11:04 UTC · 15 NovHAC 24%Draw 24%RCS 52%
Expected goals · HAC 1.2 · RCS 1.9 · 3.1 total
RCS's attack (1.11x the league average) against HAC's defence (1.32x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.7.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for HAC's win chance, the blue ones for RCS's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| HAC goals | RCS 0 | RCS 1 | RCS 2 | RCS 3 | RCS 4 | RCS 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAC 0 | 5% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| HAC 1 | 5% | 11% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| HAC 2 | 3% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| HAC 3 | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| HAC 4 | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| HAC 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
HAC 24.3% · Draw 24.0% · RCS 51.7%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.3%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Strasbourg have the edge at 52% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Strasbourg's away advantage is the separator — they score 1.7/game there, Le Havre AC concede 1.7/game on the road.
THE CAVEAT
Le Havre AC are on a 5-match losing streak — momentum often defies the long-term averages used here.
ON A SKID · HAC5 losses in a row
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
HAC
3-4-2-1RCS
4-3-3Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Le Havre AC
Thigh Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Groin Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Achilles Tendon Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Achilles Tendon Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Strasbourg
Unknown · Could return, due 20 Nov
Cruciate Ligament Injury · Expected back 10 Dec
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.582%
OVER 2.559%
OVER 3.537%
BTTS60%
HAC CLEAN SHEET16%
RCS CLEAN SHEET30%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
HAC
RCS
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
HAC
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–2 to Lorient last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
0
points · W0 D0 L5RCS
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 1–3 to Toulouse last outSCORING
2
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
3
points · W1 D0 L4VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.41SCORED · PER 90
HAC
1.01
LEAGUE1.41
RCS
1.68
RCS scores +0.67 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
HAC
1.74
LEAGUE1.41
RCS
1.68
RCS concedes 0.06 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
HAC
18th
In the relegation zone on 2 points.
RCS
13th
Hovering above relegation on 10 points.
RCS sit 5 places higher in the table