Cookies: one sign-in cookie. Analytics only if you accept. Cookie policy
Angers vs Lens
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 16:42 UTC · 15 NovSCO 20%Draw 25%RCL 55%
Expected goals · SCO 1.0 · RCL 1.8 · 2.8 total
RCL's attack (1.19x the league average) against SCO's defence (1.16x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.8.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for SCO's win chance, the blue ones for RCL's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| SCO goals | RCL 0 | RCL 1 | RCL 2 | RCL 3 | RCL 4 | RCL 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCO 0 | 7% | 11% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| SCO 1 | 6% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| SCO 2 | 3% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| SCO 3 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| SCO 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| SCO 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
SCO 20.4% · Draw 24.9% · RCL 54.7%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.9%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Lens have the edge at 55% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Single-goal margins account for 37% of outcomes — 1-1 at 12% is the model's best guess.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
SCO
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Angers
Suspended · Could return, due 22 Nov
Groin Injury · Could return, due 22 Nov
Ankle Injury · Expected back 10 Dec
Lens
Head Injury · Could return, due 19 Nov
Knee Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Thigh Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Hamstring Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Groin Injury · Expected back 10 Jan
Cruciate Ligament Injury · Expected back 20 May
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.576%
OVER 2.552%
OVER 3.529%
BTTS52%
SCO CLEAN SHEET17%
RCL CLEAN SHEET37%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
SCO
RCL
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
SCO
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–2 to Nice last outGOAL DROUGHT
3
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
1
points · W0 D1 L4RCL
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 1–2 to Marseille last outSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
9
points · W3 D0 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.41SCORED · PER 90
SCO
0.87
LEAGUE1.41
RCL
1.71
RCL scores +0.84 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
SCO
1.65
LEAGUE1.41
RCL
1.24
RCL concedes 0.41 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
SCO
16th
In the relegation zone on 8 points.
RCL
11th
Mid-table on 13 points.
RCL sit 5 places higher in the table