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Strasbourg vs Brest
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 07:06 UTC · 9 NovRCS 47%Draw 24%BRE 29%
Expected goals · RCS 1.8 · BRE 1.4 · 3.2 total
RCS's attack (1.17x the league average) against BRE's defence (1.00x, about the league average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.4.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for RCS's win chance, the blue ones for BRE's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| RCS goals | BRE 0 | BRE 1 | BRE 2 | BRE 3 | BRE 4 | BRE 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCS 0 | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| RCS 1 | 7% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| RCS 2 | 7% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| RCS 3 | 4% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| RCS 4 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| RCS 5 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
RCS 46.9% · Draw 24.1% · BRE 29.0%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.4%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Strasbourg have the edge at 47% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Expected goals of 1.8 vs 1.4 gives Strasbourg the edge but leaves room for Brest to stay in it.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
RCS
4-3-3BRE
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Strasbourg
Unknown · Could return, due 20 Nov
Cruciate Ligament Injury · Expected back 10 Dec
Brest
Broken Ankle · Expected back 31 Jan
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.584%
OVER 2.562%
OVER 3.540%
BTTS64%
RCS CLEAN SHEET25%
BRE CLEAN SHEET16%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
RCS
BRE
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
RCS
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 1–3 to Toulouse last outSCORING
2
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
3
points · W1 D0 L4BRE
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
2
games without concedingLAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.41SCORED · PER 90
RCS
1.68
LEAGUE1.41
BRE
1.47
RCS scores +0.21 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
RCS
1.68
LEAGUE1.41
BRE
1.47
BRE concedes 0.21 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
RCS
13th
Hovering above relegation on 10 points.
BRE
9th
Mid-table on 15 points.
BRE sit 4 places higher in the table
