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Paris FC vs Angers
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 23:19 UTC · 10 NovPFC 66%Draw 21%SCO 13%
Expected goals · PFC 2.0 · SCO 0.8 · 2.8 total
PFC's attack (1.18x the league average) against SCO's defence (1.12x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 1.2.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for PFC's win chance, the blue ones for SCO's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| PFC goals | SCO 0 | SCO 1 | SCO 2 | SCO 3 | SCO 4 | SCO 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PFC 0 | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| PFC 1 | 11% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| PFC 2 | 12% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| PFC 3 | 8% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| PFC 4 | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| PFC 5 | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
PFC 65.9% · Draw 21.1% · SCO 13.0%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.8%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Paris FC should control this — 66% win probability and 1.5 goals per game say the edge is clear.
THE ANGLE
Expected goals of 2.1 vs 0.8 leaves little room for Angers to force this open.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
PFC
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.578%
OVER 2.554%
OVER 3.532%
BTTS49%
PFC CLEAN SHEET45%
SCO CLEAN SHEET13%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
PFC
SCO
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
PFC
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
4
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
9
points · W3 D0 L2SCO
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–2 to Nice last outGOAL DROUGHT
3
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
1
points · W0 D1 L4VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.41SCORED · PER 90
PFC
1.52
LEAGUE1.41
SCO
0.87
PFC scores +0.65 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
PFC
1.23
LEAGUE1.41
SCO
1.65
PFC concedes 0.42 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
PFC
3rd
In the Champions League places on 20 points.
SCO
16th
In the relegation zone on 8 points.
PFC sit 13 places higher in the table
