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Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 00:46 UTC · 10 NovNIC 18%Draw 21%PSG 61%
Expected goals · NIC 1.2 · PSG 2.2 · 3.4 total
PSG's attack (1.71x the league average) against NIC's defence (1.02x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 1.0.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for NIC's win chance, the blue ones for PSG's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| NIC goals | PSG 0 | PSG 1 | PSG 2 | PSG 3 | PSG 4 | PSG 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIC 0 | 4% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% |
| NIC 1 | 3% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% |
| NIC 2 | 2% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| NIC 3 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| NIC 4 | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| NIC 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
NIC 18.4% · Draw 20.8% · PSG 60.9%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (2.6%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Paris Saint-Germain should control this — 61% win probability and 2.3 goals per game say the edge is clear.
THE ANGLE
Home/away split tells the story: Paris Saint-Germain scoring 2.3/game at away, Nice scoring 1.4/game on the road.
THE CAVEAT
Paris Saint-Germain are on a 5-match winning streak — momentum often defies the long-term averages used here.
ON A RUN · PSG5 wins in a row
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
NIC
3-4-2-1PSG
4-3-3Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Nice
Leg Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Cruciate Ligament Injury · Expected back 30 Apr
Cruciate Ligament Injury · Expected back 31 May
Paris Saint-Germain
Thigh Injury · Could return, due 17 Nov
Calf Injury · Could return, due 17 Nov
Cruciate Ligament Injury
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.586%
OVER 2.566%
OVER 3.544%
BTTS62%
NIC CLEAN SHEET11%
PSG CLEAN SHEET31%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
NIC
PSG
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
NIC
UNBEATEN
3
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
12
points · W4 D0 L1PSG
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
15
points · W5 D0 L0VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.41SCORED · PER 90
NIC
1.37
LEAGUE1.41
PSG
2.30
PSG scores +0.93 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
NIC
1.44
LEAGUE1.41
PSG
0.93
PSG concedes 0.51 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
NIC
6th
Mid-table on 17 points.
PSG
1st
Leading the table on 23 points.
PSG sit 5 places higher in the table
