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Lorient vs Rennes
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 08:21 UTC · 10 NovLOR 46%Draw 23%REN 31%
Expected goals · LOR 2.0 · REN 1.6 · 3.6 total
LOR's attack (0.90x, below the league average) against REN's defence (1.42x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.4.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for LOR's win chance, the blue ones for REN's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| LOR goals | REN 0 | REN 1 | REN 2 | REN 3 | REN 4 | REN 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOR 0 | 3% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| LOR 1 | 5% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| LOR 2 | 5% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| LOR 3 | 4% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| LOR 4 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| LOR 5 | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
LOR 46.0% · Draw 22.6% · REN 31.4%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (2.2%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Lorient have the edge at 46% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Single-goal margins account for 36% of outcomes — 1-1 at 9% is the model's best guess.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
LOR
3-4-2-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Lorient
Hamstring Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Hamstring Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Groin Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Heel Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Stade Rennais
Muscle Injury · Expected back 10 Dec
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.588%
OVER 2.570%
OVER 3.549%
BTTS70%
LOR CLEAN SHEET20%
REN CLEAN SHEET14%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
LOR
REN
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
LOR
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L1REN
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 1–2 to Lille last outSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
6
points · W2 D0 L3VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.41SCORED · PER 90
LOR
1.25
LEAGUE1.41
REN
1.80
REN scores +0.55 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
LOR
1.19
LEAGUE1.41
REN
1.71
LOR concedes 0.52 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
LOR
10th
Mid-table on 15 points.
REN
8th
Mid-table on 16 points.
REN sit 2 places higher in the table
