Photo: Валерий Дед, CC BY 3.0| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39' | home | Illia Zabarnyi | 1-0 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Model at kick-off: PSG 76% · Draw 16% · TRY 8%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
Paris Saint-Germain won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 75%. Paris Saint-Germain had more shots (15–8) and more on target (7–3).
Pre-match call frozen 7 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Illia Zabarnyi
Booked
34'
Illia Zabarnyi
Assist · Senny Mayulu
39'
1–0
Hugo Picard
On for Kandet Diawara
62'
João Neves
On for Mika Godts
70'
Idrissa Soukouna
On for Merwan Ifnaoui
72'
Yvann Titi
On for Ismael Boura
73'
Jeremy Le Douaron
Booked
79'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Midfield Domination
Control of central areas dictated everything. The midfield battle was the match.
23 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 47%
kill rate · 7%
accuracy · 38%
kill rate · 0%
Paris Saint-Germain turned 7% of shots into goals to Troyes's 0%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings9
Home
3.8 goals / game
0
Away
1
Draw
League Standing
Ligue 1Key context
Venue
Parc des Princes
Kick-off
7 Nov · 20:05 UTC
Referee
Ruddy Buquet
France · 3.4 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
