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Sochaux vs Dunkerque
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 22:23 UTC · 12 NovSOC 29%Draw 26%DUN 45%
Expected goals · SOC 1.2 · DUN 1.6 · 2.8 total
DUN's attack (1.13x the league average) against SOC's defence (1.20x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.4.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for SOC's win chance, the blue ones for DUN's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| SOC goals | DUN 0 | DUN 1 | DUN 2 | DUN 3 | DUN 4 | DUN 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOC 0 | 7% | 9% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| SOC 1 | 7% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| SOC 2 | 4% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| SOC 3 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| SOC 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| SOC 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
SOC 28.5% · Draw 26.2% · DUN 45.3%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.7%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Dunkerque have the edge at 45% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
BTTS at 57% suggests both attacks will find the net — 1-1 at 12% sits at the top of the scoreline distribution.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
SOC
4-2-3-1DUN
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.578%
OVER 2.553%
OVER 3.531%
BTTS57%
SOC CLEAN SHEET20%
DUN CLEAN SHEET30%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
SOC
DUN
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
SOC
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–1 to Nancy last outGOAL DROUGHT
2
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
1
points · W0 D1 L4DUN
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
7
points · W2 D1 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.30SCORED · PER 90
SOC
0.67
LEAGUE1.30
DUN
1.41
DUN scores +0.74 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
SOC
1.30
LEAGUE1.30
DUN
1.34
Defences level on season average
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
SOC
16th
In the relegation zone on 11 points.
DUN
10th
Mid-table on 15 points.
DUN sit 6 places higher in the table