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Reims vs Saint-Etienne
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 08:47 UTC · 8 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
REI 41%Draw 26%ASSE 33%
Expected goals · REI 1.6 · ASSE 1.4 · 3.0 total
REI's attack (1.29x the league average) against ASSE's defence (0.86x, tighter than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.2.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for REI's win chance, the blue ones for ASSE's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| REI goals | ASSE 0 | ASSE 1 | ASSE 2 | ASSE 3 | ASSE 4 | ASSE 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REI 0 | 6% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| REI 1 | 7% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| REI 2 | 6% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| REI 3 | 3% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| REI 4 | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| REI 5 | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
REI 41.2% · Draw 25.5% · ASSE 33.3%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.9%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Stade de Reims have the edge at 41% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Expected goals of 1.6 vs 1.4 gives Stade de Reims the edge but leaves room for Saint-Étienne to stay in it.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
REI
4-2-3-1ASSE
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Stade de Reims
No absences reported.
Saint-Étienne
No absences reported.
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.581%
OVER 2.558%
OVER 3.535%
BTTS61%
REI CLEAN SHEET24%
ASSE CLEAN SHEET20%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
REI
ASSE
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
REI
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 2–3 to Grenoble last outSCORING
4
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
8
points · W2 D2 L1ASSE
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
12
points · W4 D0 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.30SCORED · PER 90
REI
1.72
LEAGUE1.30
ASSE
1.74
Attacks level on season average
CONCEDED · PER 90
REI
1.12
LEAGUE1.30
ASSE
0.96
ASSE concedes 0.16 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
REI
4th
Mid-table on 21 points.
ASSE
1st
Leading the table on 28 points.
ASSE sit 3 places higher in the table
