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Nantes vs Grenoble
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 16:47 UTC · 11 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
NAN 45%Draw 28%GRE 27%
Expected goals · NAN 1.4 · GRE 1.0 · 2.4 total
NAN's attack (0.88x, below the league average) against GRE's defence (1.13x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.4.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for NAN's win chance, the blue ones for GRE's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| NAN goals | GRE 0 | GRE 1 | GRE 2 | GRE 3 | GRE 4 | GRE 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAN 0 | 9% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| NAN 1 | 11% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| NAN 2 | 9% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| NAN 3 | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| NAN 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| NAN 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
NAN 44.7% · Draw 28.3% · GRE 27.0%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.4%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Nantes have the edge at 45% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Nantes are favoured but the draw at 28% is too high to ignore — this doesn't feel like a walkover.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
NAN
3-4-3GRE
4-1-4-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.571%
OVER 2.544%
OVER 3.523%
BTTS49%
NAN CLEAN SHEET35%
GRE CLEAN SHEET25%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
NAN
GRE
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
NAN
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
2
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
5
points · W1 D2 L2GRE
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
3
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
3
points · W1 D0 L4VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.30SCORED · PER 90
NAN
1.17
LEAGUE1.30
GRE
1.05
NAN scores +0.12 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
NAN
1.44
LEAGUE1.30
GRE
1.44
Defences level on season average
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
NAN
14th
In the relegation zone on 12 points.
GRE
17th
In the relegation zone on 11 points.
NAN sit 3 places higher in the table