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AS Nancy Lorraine vs Dijon FCO
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 16:57 UTC · 8 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
ANL 34%Draw 27%DFC 39%
Expected goals · ANL 1.3 · DFC 1.4 · 2.7 total
Expected goals are close (1.3 vs 1.4) — the model reads this as an evenly matched attack-defence balance.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for ANL's win chance, the blue ones for DFC's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| ANL goals | DFC 0 | DFC 1 | DFC 2 | DFC 3 | DFC 4 | DFC 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANL 0 | 7% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| ANL 1 | 8% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| ANL 2 | 6% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| ANL 3 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| ANL 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| ANL 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
ANL 33.8% · Draw 27.1% · DFC 39.2%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.6%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Neither team separates themselves here — 39% for the slight favourite, 27% for the draw.
THE ANGLE
AS Nancy Lorraine score 1.2/game at home, Dijon FCO score 1.8/game away — the sides are matched closely.
THE CAVEAT
AS Nancy Lorraine are on a 5-match winning streak — momentum often defies the long-term averages used here.
ON A RUN · ANL5 wins in a row
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
ANL
4-2-3-1DFC
4-1-3-2Boubacar Diallo · Lenny Lacroix · Waly Diouf · Quentin Bernard
Samy Chouchane · Jordan Marié · Brandon Ndezi · Adel Lembezat
Bench · 12
Bellon, Faty, Bouleghcha, Dong, Hamada, Vargas-Ríos +6
Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
AS Nancy Lorraine
No absences reported.
Dijon FCO
No absences reported.
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.576%
OVER 2.551%
OVER 3.529%
BTTS56%
ANL CLEAN SHEET24%
DFC CLEAN SHEET27%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
ANL
DFC
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
ANL
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
15
points · W5 D0 L0DFC
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
9
points · W3 D0 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.30SCORED · PER 90
ANL
1.23
LEAGUE1.30
DFC
1.78
DFC scores +0.55 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
ANL
1.20
LEAGUE1.30
DFC
1.59
ANL concedes 0.39 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
ANL
2nd
In the automatic promotion places on 25 points.
DFC
6th
Mid-table on 18 points.
ANL sit 4 places higher in the table