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Stade Laval vs Montpellier
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 16:19 UTC · 9 NovSLA 24%Draw 30%MHSC 47%
Expected goals · SLA 0.9 · MHSC 1.3 · 2.2 total
MHSC's attack (1.03x the league average) against SLA's defence (1.12x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.4.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for SLA's win chance, the blue ones for MHSC's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| SLA goals | MHSC 0 | MHSC 1 | MHSC 2 | MHSC 3 | MHSC 4 | MHSC 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SLA 0 | 12% | 14% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| SLA 1 | 9% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| SLA 2 | 4% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| SLA 3 | 1% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| SLA 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| SLA 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
SLA 23.8% · Draw 29.6% · MHSC 46.6%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.3%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Montpellier have the edge at 47% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
BTTS at 44% suggests both attacks will find the net — 0-1 at 14% sits at the top of the scoreline distribution.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
SLA
4-3-1-2MHSC
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Stade Laval
No absences reported.
Montpellier
No absences reported.
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.566%
OVER 2.538%
OVER 3.518%
BTTS44%
SLA CLEAN SHEET26%
MHSC CLEAN SHEET42%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
SLA
MHSC
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
SLA
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–2 to Saint-Etienne last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3MHSC
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 2–3 to Metz last outSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
12
points · W4 D0 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.30SCORED · PER 90
SLA
1.05
LEAGUE1.30
MHSC
1.36
MHSC scores +0.31 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
SLA
1.53
LEAGUE1.30
MHSC
0.84
MHSC concedes 0.69 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
SLA
18th
In the relegation zone on 9 points.
MHSC
3rd
In the promotion play-off place on 24 points.
MHSC sit 15 places higher in the table