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Guingamp vs Rodez Aveyron
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 16:57 UTC · 8 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
EAG 43%Draw 25%AVE 32%
Expected goals · EAG 1.6 · AVE 1.4 · 3.0 total
EAG's attack (1.02x the league average) against AVE's defence (1.10x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.2.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for EAG's win chance, the blue ones for AVE's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| EAG goals | AVE 0 | AVE 1 | AVE 2 | AVE 3 | AVE 4 | AVE 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EAG 0 | 5% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| EAG 1 | 7% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| EAG 2 | 6% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| EAG 3 | 4% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| EAG 4 | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| EAG 5 | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
EAG 42.6% · Draw 25.3% · AVE 32.1%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.0%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Guingamp have the edge at 43% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Guingamp's home advantage is the separator — they score 1.3/game there, Rodez Aveyron concede 1.5/game on the road.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
EAG
4-4-2Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Guingamp
No absences reported.
Rodez Aveyron
No absences reported.
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.581%
OVER 2.558%
OVER 3.536%
BTTS61%
EAG CLEAN SHEET25%
AVE CLEAN SHEET19%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
EAG
AVE
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
EAG
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–3 to Dunkerque last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
6
points · W2 D0 L3AVE
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–1 to Clermont Foot last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
6
points · W2 D0 L3VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.30SCORED · PER 90
EAG
1.29
LEAGUE1.30
AVE
1.44
AVE scores +0.15 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
EAG
1.41
LEAGUE1.30
AVE
1.46
EAG concedes 0.05 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
EAG
11th
Hovering above relegation on 14 points.
AVE
13th
Hovering above relegation on 13 points.
EAG sit 2 places higher in the table