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Expected goals · ANN 1.6 · CLE 1.1 · 2.7 total
ANN's attack (0.98x, below the league average) against CLE's defence (1.12x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.5.
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for ANN's win chance, the blue ones for CLE's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| ANN goals | CLE 0 | CLE 1 | CLE 2 | CLE 3 | CLE 4 | CLE 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANN 0 | 7% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| ANN 1 | 10% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| ANN 2 | 8% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| ANN 3 | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| ANN 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| ANN 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
ANN 46.9% · Draw 26.5% · CLE 26.6%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.6%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Annecy have the edge at 47% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
Expected goals of 1.6 vs 1.1 gives Annecy the edge but leaves room for Clermont Foot to stay in it.
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
ANN
4-2-3-1CLE
4-1-4-1Predicted line-up
No absences reported.
No absences reported.
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
how each side performs at their ground
ANN scores +0.29 more per 90
Defences level on season average
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
ANN sit 6 places higher in the table