| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26' | away | Bouna Sarr | 0-1 |
| 43' | away | Yael Mouanga | 0-2 |
| 50' | home | Daylam Meddah | 1-2 |
| 51' | away | Jessy Deminguet | 1-3 |
| 90' | home | Mamadou Camara | 2-3 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Model at kick-off: MHSC 52% · Draw 26% · MET 22%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
Metz won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 20%. Montpellier had more shots (23–6) and more on target (5–2).
Pre-match call frozen 6 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Tactical shift
Jessy Deminguet
Booked
21'
Bouna Sarr
26'
0–1
Daylam Meddah
Booked
31'
Yael Mouanga
Own goal
43'
0–2
Daylam Meddah
50'
1–2
Jessy Deminguet
51'
1–3
Idris Mohamed
Booked
60'
Théo Chennahi
On for Naoufel El Hannach
62'
Hichem Abderrebi
On for Daylam Meddah
66'
Believe Munongo
On for Jessy Deminguet
80'
Mamadou Camara
90'
2–3
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Chaos Match
High-event, low-control. Structure broke down repeatedly — pure entertainment.
31 shots
xG for this match is modelled rather than measured, so per-shot and total xG figures are withheld. Positions and outcomes are as recorded.
accuracy · 22%
kill rate · 9%
accuracy · 33%
kill rate · 50%
Metz turned 50% of shots into goals to Montpellier's 9%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · football-data.co.uk
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings4
Home
2.7 goals / game
2
Away
4
Draw
League Standing
Ligue 2Key context
Venue
Stade de la Mosson
Kick-off
6 Nov · 19:00 UTC
Referee
Eddy Rosier
France · 2.9 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
