Photo: Arnaud 25, CC BY-SA 3.0
Turning point · 92'Marco Essimi1–2Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Rodez Aveyron won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 24%. Dijon FCO had more shots (18–16) and the same number on target (6–6).
Pre-match call frozen 24 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Antonin Cartillier
2'
0–1
Yanis Barka
23'
1–1
Raphael Lipinski
Booked
39'
Boubacar Diallo
Booked
55'
Moussa Faty
On for Boubacar Diallo
56'
Paul Bellon
On for Jordan Marié
57'
Mathis Saka
On for Octave Joly
63'
Kenny Nagera
On for Kelian Nsona
64'
Alexis Ntamack
On for Yanis Barka
68'
Jordan Mendes
On for Damjan Pavlovic
71'
Marco Essimi
On for Nachon Nsingi
80'
Hugo Vargas Ríos
On for Samy Chouchane
82'
Ryan Ponti
Booked
88'
Marco Essimi
92'
1–2
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Midfield Domination
Control of central areas dictated everything. The midfield battle was the match.
34 shots
xG for this match is modelled rather than measured, so per-shot and total xG figures are withheld. Positions and outcomes are as recorded.
accuracy · 33%
kill rate · 6%
accuracy · 38%
kill rate · 13%
Rodez Aveyron turned 13% of shots into goals to Dijon FCO's 6%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · football-data.co.uk
Head to Head
League Standing
Ligue 2Key context
Venue
Stade Gaston-Gérard
Kick-off
24 Oct · 12:00 UTC
Referee
Pierre Retail
France · 4.0 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
