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Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 07:07 UTC · 12 NovORL 53%Draw 21%CIN 27%
Expected goals · ORL 2.3 · CIN 1.6 · 3.9 total
ORL's attack (1.12x the league average) against CIN's defence (1.19x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.7.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for ORL's win chance, the blue ones for CIN's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| ORL goals | CIN 0 | CIN 1 | CIN 2 | CIN 3 | CIN 4 | CIN 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORL 0 | 2% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| ORL 1 | 4% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| ORL 2 | 5% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| ORL 3 | 4% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| ORL 4 | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| ORL 5 | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
ORL 52.6% · Draw 20.9% · CIN 26.5%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (3.5%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Orlando City SC have the edge at 53% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Expected goals of 2.3 vs 1.6 gives Orlando City SC the edge but leaves room for FC Cincinnati to stay in it.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
ORL
4-4-2CIN
3-5-2Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Orlando City SC
Foot Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Foot Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
FC Cincinnati
Leg Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Concussion · Expected back 30 Nov
Leg Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.590%
OVER 2.575%
OVER 3.554%
BTTS72%
ORL CLEAN SHEET20%
CIN CLEAN SHEET10%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
ORL
CIN
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
ORL
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
8
points · W2 D2 L1CIN
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–2 to Nashville SC last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.49SCORED · PER 90
ORL
1.84
LEAGUE1.49
CIN
1.74
ORL scores +0.10 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
ORL
1.99
LEAGUE1.49
CIN
1.90
CIN concedes 0.09 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
ORL
15th
On 46 points.
CIN
17th
On 46 points.
ORL sit 2 places higher in the table
