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Seattle Sounders FC vs Real Salt Lake
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 06:55 UTC · 12 NovSEA 47%Draw 26%RSL 27%
Expected goals · SEA 1.6 · RSL 1.2 · 2.8 total
SEA's attack (0.96x, below the league average) against RSL's defence (0.99x, tighter than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.4.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for SEA's win chance, the blue ones for RSL's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| SEA goals | RSL 0 | RSL 1 | RSL 2 | RSL 3 | RSL 4 | RSL 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA 0 | 7% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| SEA 1 | 9% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| SEA 2 | 8% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| SEA 3 | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| SEA 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| SEA 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
SEA 47.4% · Draw 26.1% · RSL 26.6%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.7%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Seattle Sounders FC edge this at 47% — expected goals of 1.6 to 1.2 give them the lean.
THE ANGLE
BTTS at 56% suggests both attacks will find the net — 1-1 at 12% sits at the top of the scoreline distribution.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
SEA
4-2-3-1RSL
3-4-3Philip Quinton · Kobi Henry · Justen Glad
Dominik Marczuk · Noel Caliskan · Stijn Spierings · Juan Sanabria · Saba Lobzhanidze
Bench · 12
Fougerolles, Yedlin, Hezarkhani, Junqua, Booth, Guske +6
Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Seattle Sounders FC
Hamstring Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Hip Injury
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.577%
OVER 2.552%
OVER 3.530%
BTTS56%
SEA CLEAN SHEET32%
RSL CLEAN SHEET20%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
SEA
RSL
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
SEA
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
2
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
5
points · W1 D2 L2RSL
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 3LAST 5
12
points · W4 D0 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.49SCORED · PER 90
SEA
1.43
LEAGUE1.49
RSL
1.45
Attacks level on season average
CONCEDED · PER 90
SEA
1.40
LEAGUE1.49
RSL
1.52
SEA concedes 0.12 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
SEA
16th
On 46 points.
RSL
18th
On 45 points.
SEA sit 2 places higher in the table
