Cookies: one sign-in cookie. Analytics only if you accept. Cookie policy
Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 08:26 UTC · 15 NovPHI 54%Draw 23%NE 23%
Expected goals · PHI 1.9 · NE 1.2 · 3.1 total
PHI's attack (1.18x the league average) against NE's defence (0.97x, tighter than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.7.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for PHI's win chance, the blue ones for NE's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| PHI goals | NE 0 | NE 1 | NE 2 | NE 3 | NE 4 | NE 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI 0 | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| PHI 1 | 8% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| PHI 2 | 8% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| PHI 3 | 5% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| PHI 4 | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| PHI 5 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
PHI 53.9% · Draw 23.2% · NE 22.9%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.6%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Philadelphia Union have the edge at 54% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Philadelphia Union's home advantage is the separator — they score 1.9/game there, New England Revolution concede 1.5/game on the road.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
PHI
4-4-2NE
4-3-3Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Philadelphia Union
Knee Injury · Could return, due 15 Nov
Hamstring Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Concussion · Expected back 30 Nov
New England Revolution
Knock Injury · Could return, due 22 Nov
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.583%
OVER 2.561%
OVER 3.539%
BTTS61%
PHI CLEAN SHEET30%
NE CLEAN SHEET14%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
PHI
NE
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
PHI
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
5
points · W1 D2 L2NE
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–1 to Orlando City SC last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
9
points · W3 D0 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.49SCORED · PER 90
PHI
1.92
LEAGUE1.49
NE
1.49
PHI scores +0.43 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
PHI
1.36
LEAGUE1.49
NE
1.49
PHI concedes 0.13 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
PHI
11th
On 50 points.
NE
4th
On 58 points.
NE sit 7 places higher in the table
