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Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami CF
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 06:32 UTC · 14 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
CLB 43%Draw 23%MIA 34%
Expected goals · CLB 1.9 · MIA 1.7 · 3.6 total
CLB's attack (1.11x the league average) against MIA's defence (1.02x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.2.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for CLB's win chance, the blue ones for MIA's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| CLB goals | MIA 0 | MIA 1 | MIA 2 | MIA 3 | MIA 4 | MIA 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLB 0 | 3% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| CLB 1 | 5% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| CLB 2 | 5% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| CLB 3 | 3% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| CLB 4 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| CLB 5 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
CLB 43.2% · Draw 22.8% · MIA 34.0%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (2.2%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Columbus Crew have the edge at 43% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Single-goal margins account for 36% of outcomes — 1-1 at 9% is the model's best guess.
THE CAVEAT
Columbus Crew are on a 5-match winning streak — momentum often defies the long-term averages used here.
ON A RUN · CLB5 wins in a row
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
CLB
3-4-3Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Columbus Crew
Knock Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Inter Miami CF
Knock Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Groin Injury · Expected back 20 Dec
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.588%
OVER 2.570%
OVER 3.549%
BTTS70%
CLB CLEAN SHEET18%
MIA CLEAN SHEET15%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
CLB
MIA
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
CLB
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
15
points · W5 D0 L0MIA
UNBEATEN
3
games without defeatSCORING
3
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
8
points · W2 D2 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.49SCORED · PER 90
CLB
1.81
LEAGUE1.49
MIA
2.37
MIA scores +0.56 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
CLB
1.49
LEAGUE1.49
MIA
1.63
CLB concedes 0.14 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
CLB
12th
On 47 points.
MIA
3rd
On 60 points.
MIA sit 9 places higher in the table
