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Inter Miami CF vs Columbus Crew
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 21:50 UTC · 12 NovMIA 52%Draw 19%CLB 29%
Expected goals · MIA 2.6 · CLB 2.0 · 4.6 total
MIA's attack (1.54x the league average) against CLB's defence (1.02x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.6.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for MIA's win chance, the blue ones for CLB's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| MIA goals | CLB 0 | CLB 1 | CLB 2 | CLB 3 | CLB 4 | CLB 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA 0 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| MIA 1 | 2% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| MIA 2 | 4% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| MIA 3 | 3% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| MIA 4 | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| MIA 5 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
MIA 52.4% · Draw 19.1% · CLB 28.5%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (6.4%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Inter Miami CF have the edge at 52% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Inter Miami CF's home advantage is the separator — they score 2.4/game there, Columbus Crew concede 1.5/game on the road.
THE CAVEAT
Columbus Crew are on a 5-match winning streak — momentum often defies the long-term averages used here.
ON A RUN · CLB5 wins in a row
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
MIA
4-3-3Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Inter Miami CF
Knock Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Groin Injury · Expected back 20 Dec
Columbus Crew
Knock Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.595%
OVER 2.584%
OVER 3.567%
BTTS80%
MIA CLEAN SHEET14%
CLB CLEAN SHEET7%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
MIA
CLB
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
MIA
UNBEATEN
3
games without defeatSCORING
3
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
8
points · W2 D2 L1CLB
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
15
points · W5 D0 L0VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.49SCORED · PER 90
MIA
2.37
LEAGUE1.49
CLB
1.81
MIA scores +0.56 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
MIA
1.63
LEAGUE1.49
CLB
1.49
CLB concedes 0.14 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
MIA
3rd
On 60 points.
CLB
12th
On 47 points.
MIA sit 9 places higher in the table