Photo: Sam Szapucki, CC BY 2.0Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
St. Louis CITY SC won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 46%. St. Louis CITY SC had more shots (15–10) and more on target (8–5).
Pre-match call frozen 29 Sept 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Rafael Navarro
Assist · Conrad Wallem
5'
0–1
Timo Baumgartl
Booked
35'
Connor Faello
On for Devin Padelford
63'
Pedro Castro
On for Jorge Ruvalcaba
64'
Simon Becher
On for Alexandru Matan
71'
Nathan Worth
On for Sekou Kone
84'
Lukas MacNaughton
On for Daniel Edelman
85'
Emil Forsberg
Booked
86'
Simon Becher
Assist · Christopher Durkin
87'
0–2
Andy Rojas
On for Mohammed Sofo
87'
Tomas Ostrak
91'
0–3
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
High Pressing Battle
Both sides pressed aggressively. Territory was won and lost in the opposition half.
25 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 50%
kill rate · 0%
accuracy · 53%
kill rate · 20%
St. Louis CITY SC turned 20% of shots into goals to Red Bull New York's 0%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
MLSKey context
Venue
Sports Illustrated Stadium
Kick-off
30 Sept · 23:30 UTC
Referee
Rubiel Vazquez
USA · 3.6 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
