Photo: Andy Witchger, CC BY 2.0
Turning point · 86'Marcus Caldeira3–2Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Minnesota United FC won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 27%. Minnesota United FC had more shots (27–15) and more on target (11–6).
Pre-match call frozen 17 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Tactical shift
Rafael Navarro
4'
0–1
Jeong Sang-Bin
Assist · Rafael Navarro
10'
0–2
Aziel Jackson
Booked
24'
Miguel Perez
Booked
26'
Daniel Edelman
On for Dante Polvara
45'
Aziel Jackson
Assist · Kelvin Yeboah
49'
1–2
Jeong Sang-Bin
Booked
51'
Kelvin Yeboah
Assist · Mauricio Gonzalez
68'
2–2
Damion Downs
On for Simon Becher
69'
Marcus Caldeira
On for Mauricio Gonzalez
70'
Joaquín Pereyra
On for Aziel Jackson
79'
Tomas Ostrak
On for Mykhi Joyner
82'
Marcus Caldeira
Assist · Joaquín Pereyra
86'
3–2
Jefferson Díaz
Booked
90'
Tomás Chancalay
On for Kelvin Yeboah
90'+2'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Chaos Match
High-event, low-control. Structure broke down repeatedly — pure entertainment.
42 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 41%
kill rate · 11%
accuracy · 40%
kill rate · 13%
St. Louis CITY SC turned 13% of shots into goals to Minnesota United FC's 11%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
Head to Head
League Standing
MLSKey context
Venue
Allianz Field
Kick-off
17 Oct · 20:30 UTC
Referee
Ramy Touchan
USA · 4.7 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
