Turning point · 61'Morgan Guilavogui1–2Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
Real Salt Lake won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 36%. Real Salt Lake had more shots (20–16) but fewer on target (4–5).
Pre-match call frozen 28 Oct 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Tactical shift
Morgan Guilavogui
Booked
35'
Jorge Alastuey
52'
1–0
Saba Lobjanidze
55'
1–1
Morgan Guilavogui
Assist · Sergi Solans
61'
1–2
Damian Las
Booked
61'
Brendan Hines-Ike
On for Joseph Rosales
64'
Zach Booth
On for Dominik Marczuk
67'
Christian Ramírez
On for Besard Sabovic
70'
Zan Kolmanic
On for Jon Gallagher
76'
Jorge Alastuey
Booked
77'
Ariath Piol
On for Morgan Guilavogui
79'
Alexandros Katranis
On for Saba Lobjanidze
86'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Transition Warfare
The match swung on turnovers. Moments of transition were the only moments that mattered.
36 shots
Expected goals over time
0.85 – 2.15
accuracy · 31%
kill rate · 6%
accuracy · 20%
kill rate · 10%
Real Salt Lake turned 10% of shots into goals to Austin FC's 6%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
MLSKey context
Venue
Q2 Stadium
Kick-off
29 Oct · 00:30 UTC
Referee
Ricardo Montero
Costa Rica · 4.2 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
