Evander
On for Samuel Gidi
45'
Photo: Cornfield948, CC BY-SA 3.0Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
FC Cincinnati won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 34%. Philadelphia Union had more shots (15–7) and more on target (6–2).
Pre-match call frozen 31 Oct 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Evander
On for Samuel Gidi
45'
Jesús Bueno
On for Ben Bender
60'
Ender Echenique
On for Kenji Mboma Dem
64'
Ayoub Jabbari
70'
1–0
Augustin Anello
On for Indiana Vassilev
74'
Alvas Powell
On for Teenage Hadebe
80'
Match DNA
Transition Warfare
The match swung on turnovers. Moments of transition were the only moments that mattered.
22 shots
Expected goals over time
1.06 – 1.08
accuracy · 29%
kill rate · 14%
accuracy · 40%
kill rate · 0%
FC Cincinnati turned 14% of shots into goals to Philadelphia Union's 0%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
MLSKey context
Venue
TQL Stadium
Kick-off
31 Oct · 18:00 UTC
Referee
Allen Chapman
USA · 3.4 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.