Photo: Porsche997SBS, CC BY-SA 4.0| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45' | home | Braian Ojeda | 1-0 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Model at kick-off: ORL 47% · Draw 22% · NE 31%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
Orlando City SC won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 45%. Orlando City SC had more shots (15–9) and more on target (4–3).
Pre-match call frozen 7 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Tactical shift
Braian Ojeda
45'
1–0
Adrián Marín
On for Wilder Cartagena
45'
Joshua Wynder
On for Ethan Kohler
45'
Alhassan Yusuf
On for Dor Turgeman
60'
Joran Gerbet
On for Eduard Atuesta
62'
Daryl Dike
On for Marco Pasalic
66'
Diego Fagundez
On for Matt Polster
75'
Griffin Dorsey
On for Martín Ojeda
82'
Marcos Zambrano-Delgado
On for Jackson Yueill
84'
24 shots
Expected goals over time
1.16 – 0.89
accuracy · 27%
kill rate · 7%
accuracy · 33%
kill rate · 0%
Orlando City SC turned 7% of shots into goals to New England Revolution's 0%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
MLSKey context
Venue
Inter&Co Stadium
Kick-off
7 Nov · 21:00 UTC
Referee
Guido Gonzales Jr
USA · 4.3 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
