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Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 09:30 UTC · 8 NovTOT 53%Draw 24%IPS 23%
Expected goals · TOT 1.9 · IPS 1.2 · 3.1 total
TOT's attack (0.90x, below the league average) against IPS's defence (1.32x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.7.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for TOT's win chance, the blue ones for IPS's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| TOT goals | IPS 0 | IPS 1 | IPS 2 | IPS 3 | IPS 4 | IPS 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOT 0 | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| TOT 1 | 8% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| TOT 2 | 8% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| TOT 3 | 5% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| TOT 4 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| TOT 5 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
TOT 53.1% · Draw 23.5% · IPS 23.4%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.5%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Tottenham Hotspur have the edge at 53% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Single-goal margins account for 36% of outcomes — 1-1 at 11% is the model's best guess.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
TOT
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Tottenham Hotspur
Hamstring Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Physical Discomfort · Expected back 30 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Ankle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Coach decision · Expected back 2 Jan
Cruciate Ligament Injury · Expected back 20 Jan
Cruciate Ligament Injury · Expected back 10 Feb
Ipswich Town
No absences reported.
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.582%
OVER 2.560%
OVER 3.538%
BTTS60%
TOT CLEAN SHEET30%
IPS CLEAN SHEET15%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
TOT
IPS
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
TOT
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–1 to Leeds United last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L1IPS
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 1–2 to Bournemouth last outSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
5
points · W1 D2 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.46SCORED · PER 90
TOT
1.30
LEAGUE1.46
IPS
1.10
TOT scores +0.20 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
TOT
1.43
LEAGUE1.46
IPS
1.94
TOT concedes 0.51 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
TOT
11th
Mid-table on 12 points.
IPS
14th
Mid-table on 11 points.
TOT sit 3 places higher in the table
