Photo: Arne Müseler , cropped by Blackcat, CC BY-SA 3.0| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79' | home | Noah Okafor | 1-0 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Model at kick-off: LEE 44% · Draw 27% · TOT 29%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
Leeds United won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 44%. Leeds United had more shots (16–7) and the same number on target (4–4).
Pre-match call frozen 7 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Micky van de Ven
Booked
15'
Sean Longstaff
Booked
22'
Dominic Solanke
On for Mathys Tel
43'
Melvin Bard
On for Gabriel Gudmundsson
45'
Pedro Porro
Booked
51'
Conor Gallagher
On for Pedro Porro
65'
Harry Wilson
On for Ao Tanaka
77'
Noah Okafor
79'
1–0
Noah Okafor
Booked
80'
Luca Williams-Barnett
On for Mohammed Kudus
83'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
23 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 25%
kill rate · 6%
accuracy · 57%
kill rate · 0%
Leeds United turned 6% of shots into goals to Tottenham Hotspur's 0%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings2
Home
3.6 goals / game
6
Away
1
Draw
League Standing
Premier LeagueKey context
Venue
Elland Road
Kick-off
7 Nov · 12:30 UTC
Referee
John Brooks
England · 4.8 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
