Photo: James Cracknell, CC BY-SA 4.0| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5' | away | Evanilson | 0-1 |
| 46' | away | Leif Davis | 0-2 |
| 73' | home | Jack Clarke | 1-2 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Model at kick-off: IPS 26% · Draw 24% · BOU 50%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
Bournemouth won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 49%. Bournemouth had more shots (15–10) and more on target (4–2).
Pre-match call frozen 8 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Tactical shift
Evanilson
5'
0–1
Adam Smith
Booked
43'
Julio Enciso
Booked
43'
Leif Davis
Own goal
46'
0–2
Jack Clarke
On for Jaden Philogene
54'
Fatawu Issahaku
On for Daizen Maeda
65'
Lewis Cook
On for Ryan Christie
67'
Junior Kroupi
On for Justin Kluivert
68'
Jack Clarke
73'
1–2
Bafodé Diakité
On for Adam Smith
79'
Chuba Akpom
On for Florentino
85'
Álvaro Rodríguez
On for Evanilson
85'
António Silva
Booked
90'+3'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
High Pressing Battle
Both sides pressed aggressively. Territory was won and lost in the opposition half.
26 shots
xG for this match is modelled rather than measured, so per-shot and total xG figures are withheld. Positions and outcomes are as recorded.
accuracy · 20%
kill rate · 10%
accuracy · 27%
kill rate · 13%
Bournemouth turned 13% of shots into goals to Ipswich Town's 10%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings1
Home
3.0 goals / game
2
Away
0
Draw
League Standing
Premier LeagueKey context
Venue
Portman Road
Kick-off
8 Nov · 14:00 UTC
Referee
Simon Hooper
England · 4.3 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
