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Sunderland vs Tottenham Hotspur
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 20:35 UTC · 15 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
SUN 35%Draw 32%TOT 33%
Expected goals · SUN 1.0 · TOT 1.0 · 2.0 total
Expected goals are close (1.0 vs 1.0) — the model reads this as an evenly matched attack-defence balance.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for SUN's win chance, the blue ones for TOT's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| SUN goals | TOT 0 | TOT 1 | TOT 2 | TOT 3 | TOT 4 | TOT 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUN 0 | 14% | 12% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| SUN 1 | 13% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| SUN 2 | 7% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| SUN 3 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| SUN 4 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| SUN 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
SUN 34.5% · Draw 32.3% · TOT 33.2%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.1%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
The draw at 32% is the most likely single outcome — neither side is above 35%.
THE ANGLE
Over 2.5 probability at 33% suggests goals but no clear winner — this looks like a 1-1 kind of night.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
SUN
4-2-3-1TOT
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Sunderland
Physical Discomfort · Expected back 30 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Hamstring Injury · Expected back 20 Dec
Knee Injury · Expected back 10 Jan
Tottenham Hotspur
Hamstring Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Physical Discomfort · Expected back 30 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Ankle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Coach decision · Expected back 2 Jan
Cruciate Ligament Injury · Expected back 20 Jan
Cruciate Ligament Injury · Expected back 10 Feb
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.561%
OVER 2.533%
OVER 3.515%
BTTS41%
SUN CLEAN SHEET37%
TOT CLEAN SHEET36%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
SUN
TOT
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
SUN
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
2
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3TOT
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–1 to Leeds United last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.46SCORED · PER 90
SUN
1.01
LEAGUE1.46
TOT
1.30
TOT scores +0.29 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
SUN
1.47
LEAGUE1.46
TOT
1.43
Defences level on season average
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
SUN
19th
In the relegation zone on 8 points.
TOT
11th
Mid-table on 12 points.
TOT sit 8 places higher in the table
