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Leeds United vs Coventry City
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 02:19 UTC · 10 NovLEE 62%Draw 25%COV 14%
Expected goals · LEE 1.7 · COV 0.7 · 2.4 total
LEE's attack (0.92x, below the league average) against COV's defence (1.17x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 1.0.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for LEE's win chance, the blue ones for COV's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| LEE goals | COV 0 | COV 1 | COV 2 | COV 3 | COV 4 | COV 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEE 0 | 10% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| LEE 1 | 15% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| LEE 2 | 14% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| LEE 3 | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| LEE 4 | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| LEE 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
LEE 61.9% · Draw 24.6% · COV 13.5%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.8%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Leeds United at 62% — Coventry City concede 1.9 per game, and the model sees that.
THE ANGLE
Leeds United are averaging 1.2 per game at home — the gap in quality shows in the numbers.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
LEE
3-4-2-1COV
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Leeds United
Suspended · Could return, due 16 Nov
Suspended · Could return, due 17 Nov
Knee Injury · Expected back 10 Jan
Coventry City
Knee Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Knock Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Calf Injury · Expected back 10 Jan
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.569%
OVER 2.542%
OVER 3.522%
BTTS41%
LEE CLEAN SHEET51%
COV CLEAN SHEET18%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
LEE
COV
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
LEE
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
5
points · W1 D2 L2COV
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 1–3 to Everton last outSCORING
2
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
6
points · W2 D0 L3VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.46SCORED · PER 90
LEE
1.19
LEAGUE1.46
COV
1.00
LEE scores +0.19 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
LEE
1.17
LEAGUE1.46
COV
1.85
LEE concedes 0.68 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
LEE
9th
Mid-table on 14 points.
COV
17th
Hovering above relegation on 9 points.
LEE sit 8 places higher in the table
