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Fulham vs Bournemouth
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 02:19 UTC · 10 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
FUL 36%Draw 26%BOU 38%
Expected goals · FUL 1.4 · BOU 1.5 · 2.9 total
Expected goals are close (1.4 vs 1.5) — the model reads this as an evenly matched attack-defence balance.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for FUL's win chance, the blue ones for BOU's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| FUL goals | BOU 0 | BOU 1 | BOU 2 | BOU 3 | BOU 4 | BOU 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FUL 0 | 6% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| FUL 1 | 7% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| FUL 2 | 6% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| FUL 3 | 3% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| FUL 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| FUL 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
FUL 36.1% · Draw 26.1% · BOU 37.8%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.7%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
This looks level with over 2.5 goals at 56% — open but no clear winner.
THE ANGLE
Fulham score 1.2/game at home, AFC Bournemouth score 1.5/game away — the sides are matched closely.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
FUL
4-2-3-1BOU
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Fulham
Knee Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
AFC Bournemouth
Thigh Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Ankle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Hamstring Injury · Expected back 10 Feb
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.580%
OVER 2.556%
OVER 3.533%
BTTS60%
FUL CLEAN SHEET23%
BOU CLEAN SHEET24%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
FUL
BOU
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
FUL
UNBEATEN
4
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
8
points · W2 D2 L1BOU
UNBEATEN
4
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
12
points · W4 D0 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.46SCORED · PER 90
FUL
1.22
LEAGUE1.46
BOU
1.54
BOU scores +0.32 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
FUL
1.28
LEAGUE1.46
BOU
1.33
FUL concedes 0.05 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
FUL
15th
Hovering above relegation on 10 points.
BOU
7th
Mid-table on 15 points.
BOU sit 8 places higher in the table
