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Crystal Palace vs Hull City
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 02:19 UTC · 10 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
CRY 41%Draw 29%HUL 30%
Expected goals · CRY 1.3 · HUL 1.1 · 2.4 total
CRY's attack (0.83x, below the league average) against HUL's defence (1.00x, about the league average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.2.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for CRY's win chance, the blue ones for HUL's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| CRY goals | HUL 0 | HUL 1 | HUL 2 | HUL 3 | HUL 4 | HUL 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRY 0 | 10% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| CRY 1 | 11% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| CRY 2 | 8% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| CRY 3 | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| CRY 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| CRY 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
CRY 40.7% · Draw 28.8% · HUL 30.5%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.3%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Crystal Palace are favoured at 41% but the draw at 29% is too high to ignore.
THE ANGLE
Single-goal margins account for 40% of outcomes — 1-1 at 14% is the model's best guess.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
CRY
3-4-2-1HUL
5-4-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Crystal Palace
Groin Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Suspended · Red card · Could return, due 29 Nov
Calf Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Knee Injury · Expected back 30 Jun
Hull City
Groin Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Groin Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Back Injury · Expected back 10 Dec
Elbow Injury · Expected back 10 Dec
Ankle Injury · Expected back 20 Dec
Cruciate Ligament Injury · Expected back 10 Feb
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.571%
OVER 2.544%
OVER 3.523%
BTTS50%
CRY CLEAN SHEET33%
HUL CLEAN SHEET27%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
CRY
HUL
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
CRY
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 1–3 to Liverpool last outSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
3
points · W1 D0 L4HUL
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–1 to Arsenal last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
3
points · W0 D3 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.46SCORED · PER 90
CRY
1.16
LEAGUE1.46
HUL
1.01
CRY scores +0.15 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
CRY
1.75
LEAGUE1.46
HUL
1.56
HUL concedes 0.19 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
CRY
20th
In the relegation zone on 7 points.
HUL
13th
Mid-table on 11 points.
HUL sit 7 places higher in the table
