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Hull City vs Brighton
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 20:51 UTC · 8 NovHUL 25%Draw 26%BHA 50%
Expected goals · HUL 1.1 · BHA 1.7 · 2.8 total
BHA's attack (1.15x the league average) against HUL's defence (1.08x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.6.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for HUL's win chance, the blue ones for BHA's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| HUL goals | BHA 0 | BHA 1 | BHA 2 | BHA 3 | BHA 4 | BHA 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HUL 0 | 7% | 10% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| HUL 1 | 6% | 12% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| HUL 2 | 4% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| HUL 3 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| HUL 4 | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| HUL 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
HUL 24.7% · Draw 25.8% · BHA 49.5%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.8%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Brighton & Hove Albion have the edge at 50% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Single-goal margins account for 38% of outcomes — 1-1 at 12% is the model's best guess.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
HUL
5-4-1BHA
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Hull City
Groin Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Groin Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Back Injury · Expected back 10 Dec
Elbow Injury · Expected back 10 Dec
Ankle Injury · Expected back 20 Dec
Cruciate Ligament Injury · Expected back 10 Feb
Brighton & Hove Albion
Cruciate Ligament Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Ankle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Knock Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Hamstring Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.577%
OVER 2.552%
OVER 3.530%
BTTS55%
HUL CLEAN SHEET19%
BHA CLEAN SHEET33%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
HUL
BHA
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
HUL
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–1 to Arsenal last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
3
points · W0 D3 L2BHA
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
2
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
2
games without concedingLAST 5
12
points · W4 D0 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.46SCORED · PER 90
HUL
1.01
LEAGUE1.46
BHA
1.73
BHA scores +0.72 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
HUL
1.56
LEAGUE1.46
BHA
1.09
BHA concedes 0.47 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
HUL
13th
Mid-table on 11 points.
BHA
2nd
In the Champions League places on 22 points.
BHA sit 11 places higher in the table
