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Brentford vs Everton
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 02:19 UTC · 10 NovBRE 49%Draw 28%EVE 23%
Expected goals · BRE 1.5 · EVE 0.9 · 2.4 total
BRE's attack (1.12x the league average) against EVE's defence (0.83x, tighter than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.6.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for BRE's win chance, the blue ones for EVE's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| BRE goals | EVE 0 | EVE 1 | EVE 2 | EVE 3 | EVE 4 | EVE 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRE 0 | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| BRE 1 | 12% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| BRE 2 | 10% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| BRE 3 | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| BRE 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| BRE 5 | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
BRE 49.0% · Draw 27.8% · EVE 23.2%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.4%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Brentford have the edge at 49% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Brentford's home advantage is the separator — they score 1.5/game there, Everton concede 1.2/game on the road.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
BRE
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Brentford
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Knock Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Hamstring Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Cruciate Ligament Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Suspended · Red card · Expected back 2 Dec
Knee Surgery · Expected back 10 Dec
Everton
No absences reported.
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.570%
OVER 2.543%
OVER 3.522%
BTTS48%
BRE CLEAN SHEET39%
EVE CLEAN SHEET23%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
BRE
EVE
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
BRE
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–2 to Brighton last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
5
points · W1 D2 L2EVE
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
2
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
7
points · W2 D1 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.46SCORED · PER 90
BRE
1.53
LEAGUE1.46
EVE
1.21
BRE scores +0.32 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
BRE
1.31
LEAGUE1.46
EVE
1.23
EVE concedes 0.08 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
BRE
8th
Mid-table on 14 points.
EVE
6th
Mid-table on 16 points.
EVE sit 2 places higher in the table
