Photo: Laurence Mackman, CC BY-SA 4.0| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80' | away | Jacob Murphy | 0-1 |
| 83' | home | Rodrigo Muniz | 1-1 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Model at kick-off: FUL 47% · Draw 25% · NEW 29%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
It finished level; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 27%. Fulham had more shots (11–9) and the same number on target (5–5).
Pre-match call frozen 7 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Tactical shift
Joe Willock
On for Yoane Wissa
61'
Rodrigo Muniz
On for Gonzalo García
65'
César Palacios
On for Josh King
72'
Matias Fernandez-Pardo
On for Sean Steur
74'
Kenny Tete
On for Timothy Castagne
77'
Ryan Sessegnon
On for Oscar Bobb
78'
Jacob Murphy
80'
0–1
Rodrigo Muniz
83'
1–1
Fabian Schär
On for Malick Thiaw
85'
Fabian Schär
Booked
90'
Amar Dedic
Booked
90'+2'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
20 shots
Expected goals over time
0.62 – 0.91
accuracy · 45%
kill rate · 9%
accuracy · 56%
kill rate · 11%
Newcastle United turned 11% of shots into goals to Fulham's 9%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings3
Home
2.6 goals / game
6
Away
1
Draw
League Standing
Premier LeagueKey context
Venue
Craven Cottage
Kick-off
7 Nov · 15:00 UTC
Referee
Robert Jones
England · 4.0 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
