Photo: Matthew Jackson, CC BY-SA 3.0Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Bournemouth won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 43%. Bournemouth had more shots (29–3) and more on target (6–0).
Pre-match call frozen 18 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Tactical shift
Marcus Tavernier
Assist · Evanilson
6'
1–0
Kevin Danso
Sent off
17'
António Silva
Booked
26'
Omar Alderete
Booked
40'
Lewis Cook
Booked
45'+6'
Evanilson
48'
2–0
Habib Diarra
On for Tymur Tutierov
59'
Justin Kluivert
On for Lewis Cook
62'
Chris Rigg
Booked
65'
Jules Ahoka
On for Chris Rigg
65'
Ryan Christie
Booked
79'
Álvaro Rodríguez
On for Evanilson
79'
Bafodé Diakité
On for Tyler Adams
89'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Midfield Domination
Control of central areas dictated everything. The midfield battle was the match.
32 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 21%
kill rate · 7%
accuracy · 0%
kill rate · 0%
Bournemouth turned 7% of shots into goals to Sunderland's 0%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings3
Home
2.4 goals / game
2
Away
2
Draw
League Standing
Premier LeagueKey context
Venue
Vitality Stadium
Kick-off
18 Oct · 13:00 UTC
Referee
Craig Pawson
England · 3.6 yellows/match
