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Al Nassr vs Al Qadsiah
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 00:09 UTC · 8 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
NSR 37%Draw 24%QAD 39%
Expected goals · NSR 1.7 · QAD 1.7 · 3.4 total
Expected goals are close (1.7 vs 1.7) — the model reads this as an evenly matched attack-defence balance.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for NSR's win chance, the blue ones for QAD's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| NSR goals | QAD 0 | QAD 1 | QAD 2 | QAD 3 | QAD 4 | QAD 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSR 0 | 4% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| NSR 1 | 5% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| NSR 2 | 5% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| NSR 3 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| NSR 4 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| NSR 5 | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
NSR 37.1% · Draw 23.9% · QAD 39.0%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.5%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
This looks level with over 2.5 goals at 66% — open but no clear winner.
THE ANGLE
Al Nassr score 2.6/game at home, Al Qadsiah score 2.4/game away — the sides are matched closely.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
Predicted XI released around an hour before kickoff
TEAM NEWS
Al Nassr
Cruciate Ligament Injury · Expected back 20 Jan
Al Qadsiah
No absences reported.
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.586%
OVER 2.566%
OVER 3.544%
BTTS67%
NSR CLEAN SHEET18%
QAD CLEAN SHEET19%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
NSR
QAD
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
NSR
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
13
points · W4 D1 L0QAD
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
12
points · W4 D0 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.46SCORED · PER 90
NSR
2.59
LEAGUE1.46
QAD
2.38
NSR scores +0.21 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
NSR
0.98
LEAGUE1.46
QAD
1.00
Defences level on season average
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
NSR
3rd
On 28 points.
QAD
2nd
On 28 points.
QAD sit 1 place higher in the table
