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Neom SC vs Al Kholood
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 17:20 UTC · 7 NovNEO 53%Draw 24%KHO 23%
Expected goals · NEO 1.8 · KHO 1.1 · 2.9 total
NEO's attack (0.91x, below the league average) against KHO's defence (1.27x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.7.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for NEO's win chance, the blue ones for KHO's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| NEO goals | KHO 0 | KHO 1 | KHO 2 | KHO 3 | KHO 4 | KHO 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEO 0 | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| NEO 1 | 9% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| NEO 2 | 9% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| NEO 3 | 5% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| NEO 4 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| NEO 5 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
NEO 52.6% · Draw 24.4% · KHO 23.1%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.2%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Neom SC have the edge at 53% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
BTTS at 57% suggests both attacks will find the net — 1-1 at 11% sits at the top of the scoreline distribution.
THE CAVEAT
Al Kholood are on a 5-match losing streak — momentum often defies the long-term averages used here.
ON A SKID · KHO5 losses in a row
TEAM SHEETS
Predicted XI released around an hour before kickoff
SIGNALS
OVER 1.580%
OVER 2.556%
OVER 3.534%
BTTS57%
NEO CLEAN SHEET32%
KHO CLEAN SHEET16%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
NEO
KHO
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
NEO
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
2
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
7
points · W2 D1 L2KHO
LOSING RUN
5
Lost 3–5 to Al-Nassr last outSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
0
points · W0 D0 L5VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.46SCORED · PER 90
NEO
1.35
LEAGUE1.46
KHO
1.25
NEO scores +0.10 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
NEO
1.15
LEAGUE1.46
KHO
2.03
NEO concedes 0.88 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
NEO
5th
On 22 points.
KHO
11th
On 12 points.
NEO sit 6 places higher in the table