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Al Faisaly vs Al Diriyah
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 04:13 UTC · 7 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
ALF 37%Draw 29%DIR 35%
Expected goals · ALF 1.2 · DIR 1.2 · 2.4 total
Expected goals are close (1.2 vs 1.2) — the model reads this as an evenly matched attack-defence balance.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for ALF's win chance, the blue ones for DIR's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| ALF goals | DIR 0 | DIR 1 | DIR 2 | DIR 3 | DIR 4 | DIR 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALF 0 | 10% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| ALF 1 | 10% | 14% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| ALF 2 | 7% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| ALF 3 | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| ALF 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| ALF 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
ALF 36.5% · Draw 29.0% · DIR 34.5%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.3%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
The draw at 29% is the most likely single outcome — neither side is above 37%.
THE ANGLE
The forecast is this close because neither side has separated themselves — form lines are essentially level.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
ALF
4-1-4-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.571%
OVER 2.544%
OVER 3.523%
BTTS50%
ALF CLEAN SHEET30%
DIR CLEAN SHEET29%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
ALF
DIR
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
ALF
LOSING RUN
1
Lost 1–4 last outSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
7
points · W2 D1 L2DIR
LOSING RUN
2
Lost 1–2 last outSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.46SCORED · PER 90
ALF
0.97
LEAGUE1.46
DIR
0.86
ALF scores +0.11 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
ALF
1.99
LEAGUE1.46
DIR
1.60
DIR concedes 0.39 fewer per 90
