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Motherwell vs Rangers
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 11:54 UTC · 10 NovMOT 21%Draw 28%RAN 52%
Expected goals · MOT 0.8 · RAN 1.5 · 2.3 total
RAN's attack (1.25x the league average) against MOT's defence (0.96x, tighter than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.7.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for MOT's win chance, the blue ones for RAN's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| MOT goals | RAN 0 | RAN 1 | RAN 2 | RAN 3 | RAN 4 | RAN 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOT 0 | 11% | 14% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| MOT 1 | 8% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| MOT 2 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| MOT 3 | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| MOT 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| MOT 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
MOT 20.6% · Draw 27.9% · RAN 51.6%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.4%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Rangers have the edge at 52% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Rangers's away advantage is the separator — they score 1.8/game there, Motherwell concede 1.6/game on the road.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
MOT
4-2-3-1Emmanuel Longelo · Martin Moormann · Jake Girdwood-Reich · Tom Sparrow
Joe Hodge · Lukas Fadinger · Jardell Kanga
Regan Charles-Cook · Tawanda Maswanhise · Sebastian Palmer-Houlden
Bench · 12
Said, Levitt, O'Donnell, Knight-Lebel, Koutroumbis, Vogt +6
Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Rangers
Suspended · Red card · Could return, due 16 Nov
Groin Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Hamstring Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Hamstring Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Knee Surgery · Expected back 30 Nov
Hamstring Injury · Expected back 10 Dec
Cruciate Ligament Injury · Expected back 30 Apr
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.568%
OVER 2.541%
OVER 3.521%
BTTS45%
MOT CLEAN SHEET23%
RAN CLEAN SHEET43%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
MOT
RAN
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
MOT
UNBEATEN
3
games without defeatSCORING
3
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
5
points · W1 D2 L2RAN
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
11
points · W3 D2 L0VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.38SCORED · PER 90
MOT
1.14
LEAGUE1.38
RAN
1.80
RAN scores +0.66 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
MOT
1.63
LEAGUE1.38
RAN
0.75
RAN concedes 0.88 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
MOT
9th
On 13 points.
RAN
2nd
On 27 points.
RAN sit 7 places higher in the table