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Hibernian vs Dundee United
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 06:01 UTC · 10 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
HIB 31%Draw 27%DUN 42%
Expected goals · HIB 1.3 · DUN 1.5 · 2.8 total
DUN's attack (1.11x the league average) against HIB's defence (1.09x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.2.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for HIB's win chance, the blue ones for DUN's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| HIB goals | DUN 0 | DUN 1 | DUN 2 | DUN 3 | DUN 4 | DUN 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HIB 0 | 7% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| HIB 1 | 7% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| HIB 2 | 5% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| HIB 3 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| HIB 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| HIB 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
HIB 31.5% · Draw 26.6% · DUN 41.9%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.6%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Dundee United have the edge at 42% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Dundee United's away advantage is the separator — they score 1.4/game there, Hibernian concede 1.4/game on the road.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
HIB
4-2-3-1DUN
4-3-3Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.577%
OVER 2.553%
OVER 3.530%
BTTS57%
HIB CLEAN SHEET22%
DUN CLEAN SHEET28%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
HIB
DUN
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
HIB
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
4
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3DUN
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
9
points · W2 D3 L0VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.38SCORED · PER 90
HIB
1.26
LEAGUE1.38
DUN
1.44
DUN scores +0.18 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
HIB
1.39
LEAGUE1.38
DUN
1.39
Defences level on season average
