Cookies: one sign-in cookie. Analytics only if you accept. Cookie policy
Celtic vs St Mirren
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 21:59 UTC · 8 NovCEL 74%Draw 17%STM 8%
Expected goals · CEL 2.4 · STM 0.7 · 3.1 total
CEL's attack (1.33x the league average) against STM's defence (1.10x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 1.7.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for CEL's win chance, the blue ones for STM's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| CEL goals | STM 0 | STM 1 | STM 2 | STM 3 | STM 4 | STM 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CEL 0 | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| CEL 1 | 11% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| CEL 2 | 13% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| CEL 3 | 10% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| CEL 4 | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| CEL 5 | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
CEL 74.5% · Draw 17.1% · STM 8.5%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (3.3%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Celtic should control this — 74% win probability and 2.1 goals per game say the edge is clear.
THE ANGLE
St Mirren concede 1.7 per game on the model's weighted record, and Celtic's most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 13%.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
CEL
4-2-3-1STM
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Celtic
Hamstring Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Ankle Injury · Expected back 23 Nov
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.581%
OVER 2.559%
OVER 3.536%
BTTS45%
CEL CLEAN SHEET51%
STM CLEAN SHEET9%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
CEL
STM
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
CEL
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L1STM
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–2 to Rangers last outGOAL DROUGHT
2
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.38SCORED · PER 90
CEL
2.14
LEAGUE1.38
STM
0.89
CEL scores +1.25 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
CEL
0.80
LEAGUE1.38
STM
1.74
CEL concedes 0.94 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
CEL
1st
Leading the table on 31 points.
STM
8th
On 14 points.
CEL sit 7 places higher in the table
