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Hibernian vs Dundee
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 20:30 UTC · 13 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
HIB 35%Draw 28%DUN 36%
Expected goals · HIB 1.3 · DUN 1.3 · 2.6 total
Expected goals are close (1.3 vs 1.3) — the model reads this as an evenly matched attack-defence balance.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for HIB's win chance, the blue ones for DUN's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| HIB goals | DUN 0 | DUN 1 | DUN 2 | DUN 3 | DUN 4 | DUN 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HIB 0 | 9% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| HIB 1 | 9% | 14% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| HIB 2 | 6% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| HIB 3 | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| HIB 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| HIB 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
HIB 35.5% · Draw 28.3% · DUN 36.2%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.4%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
This looks even — 28% draw probability with neither side above 36%.
THE ANGLE
The draw at 28% is the single most likely outcome — scoreline distribution keeps returning to 1-1.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
HIB
4-2-3-1DUN
4-4-2Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.573%
OVER 2.546%
OVER 3.525%
BTTS52%
HIB CLEAN SHEET28%
DUN CLEAN SHEET28%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
HIB
DUN
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
HIB
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
4
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3DUN
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 1–2 to ST Johnstone last outSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
7
points · W2 D1 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.38SCORED · PER 90
HIB
1.26
LEAGUE1.38
DUN
1.52
DUN scores +0.26 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
HIB
1.39
LEAGUE1.38
DUN
1.29
DUN concedes 0.10 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
HIB
10th
On 11 points.
DUN
5th
On 17 points.
DUN sit 5 places higher in the table
