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Albacete vs Tenerife
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 21:01 UTC · 15 NovALB 46%Draw 27%TEN 27%
Expected goals · ALB 1.5 · TEN 1.1 · 2.6 total
ALB's attack (0.96x, below the league average) against TEN's defence (1.07x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.4.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for ALB's win chance, the blue ones for TEN's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| ALB goals | TEN 0 | TEN 1 | TEN 2 | TEN 3 | TEN 4 | TEN 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALB 0 | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| ALB 1 | 10% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| ALB 2 | 8% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| ALB 3 | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| ALB 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| ALB 5 | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
ALB 45.9% · Draw 27.1% · TEN 27.0%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.5%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Albacete edge this at 46% — expected goals of 1.5 to 1.1 give them the lean.
THE ANGLE
Albacete are favoured but the draw at 27% is too high to ignore — this doesn't feel like a walkover.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
ALB
4-4-2Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Albacete
Suspended · Red card · Could return, due 22 Nov
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 23 Nov
Knee Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Tenerife
National team · Could return, due 15 Nov
Heart Problems · Could return, due 16 Nov
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.574%
OVER 2.549%
OVER 3.527%
BTTS53%
ALB CLEAN SHEET33%
TEN CLEAN SHEET22%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
ALB
TEN
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
ALB
UNBEATEN
3
games without defeatSCORING
4
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
9
points · W3 D0 L2TEN
UNBEATEN
4
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
4
points · W0 D4 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.29SCORED · PER 90
ALB
1.24
LEAGUE1.29
TEN
1.06
ALB scores +0.18 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
ALB
1.47
LEAGUE1.29
TEN
1.37
TEN concedes 0.10 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
ALB
21st
In the relegation zone on 10 points.
TEN
14th
Hovering above relegation on 15 points.
TEN sit 7 places higher in the table