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CD Sabadell vs Granada
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 13:25 UTC · 9 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
CDS 44%Draw 28%GRA 28%
Expected goals · CDS 1.4 · GRA 1.1 · 2.5 total
CDS's attack (0.92x, below the league average) against GRA's defence (0.96x, tighter than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.3.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for CDS's win chance, the blue ones for GRA's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| CDS goals | GRA 0 | GRA 1 | GRA 2 | GRA 3 | GRA 4 | GRA 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDS 0 | 9% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| CDS 1 | 11% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| CDS 2 | 8% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| CDS 3 | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| CDS 4 | 1% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| CDS 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
CDS 44.3% · Draw 27.9% · GRA 27.8%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.4%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
CD Sabadell have the edge at 44% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Single-goal margins account for 39% of outcomes — 1-1 at 13% is the model's best guess.
THE CAVEAT
Granada are on a 5-match winning streak — momentum often defies the long-term averages used here.
ON A RUN · GRA5 wins in a row
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
CDS
4-4-2GRA
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Granada
National team · Could return, due 15 Nov
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.572%
OVER 2.546%
OVER 3.525%
BTTS51%
CDS CLEAN SHEET34%
GRA CLEAN SHEET24%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
CDS
GRA
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
CDS
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
5
points · W1 D2 L2GRA
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
15
points · W5 D0 L0VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.29SCORED · PER 90
CDS
0.92
LEAGUE1.29
GRA
1.39
GRA scores +0.47 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
CDS
0.86
LEAGUE1.29
GRA
1.29
CDS concedes 0.43 fewer per 90