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Córdoba vs Real Oviedo
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 20:22 UTC · 12 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
COR 43%Draw 25%OVI 32%
Expected goals · COR 1.6 · OVI 1.4 · 3.0 total
COR's attack (1.12x the league average) against OVI's defence (1.02x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.2.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for COR's win chance, the blue ones for OVI's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| COR goals | OVI 0 | OVI 1 | OVI 2 | OVI 3 | OVI 4 | OVI 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COR 0 | 6% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| COR 1 | 7% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| COR 2 | 7% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| COR 3 | 4% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| COR 4 | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| COR 5 | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
COR 42.8% · Draw 25.4% · OVI 31.8%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.9%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Córdoba have the edge at 43% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Single-goal margins account for 38% of outcomes — 1-1 at 12% is the model's best guess.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
COR
4-3-3OVI
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Córdoba
Anterior Cruciate Ligament · Expected back 10 May
Real Oviedo
Meniscus Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Knee Injury · Expected back 10 Jan
Cruciate Ligament Injury
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.581%
OVER 2.558%
OVER 3.536%
BTTS61%
COR CLEAN SHEET25%
OVI CLEAN SHEET20%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
COR
OVI
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
COR
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
11
points · W3 D2 L0OVI
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 1–2 to Girona last outSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
7
points · W2 D1 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.29SCORED · PER 90
COR
1.51
LEAGUE1.29
OVI
1.35
COR scores +0.16 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
COR
1.60
LEAGUE1.29
OVI
1.22
OVI concedes 0.38 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
COR
10th
Mid-table on 20 points.
OVI
9th
Mid-table on 21 points.
OVI sit 1 place higher in the table